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Projections of coastal flood durations for Whatcom County, Northwest Washington State coast (2015-2100)

Projected flood duration associated with compound coastal flood hazards for future sea-level rise (SLR) and storm scenarios are provided for Whatcom County, Washington, in a series of raster geotiff files. Projections were made using a system of numerical models with atmospheric forcing, tides, sea level position and stream discharge driven by output from Global Climate Models (GCMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). The resulting computed coastal flood duration along the Whatcom County coast due to predicted sea level rise and future storm conditions consider the changing climate. In addition to sea-level rise, flood simulations run by these numerical models included dynamic contributions from tide, storm surge, wind, waves, and seasonal sea-level fluctuations. In the absence of concordant downscaled GCM stream discharge, daily average stream discharge was fed to the model. Outputs include flood durations from the combinations of SLR scenarios (0, 0.25, 0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0, 2.5, 3.0 and 5.0 m) storm conditions including 1-year, 5-year, 10-year, 20-year, 50-year and 100-year return interval storms and a background condition (no storm - astronomic tide and average atmospheric conditions). Predicted flood duration during the largest annual astronomic tides (King Tide) in combination with an average storm surge scenario are also provided.

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Author(s) Eric Grossman orcid, Nathan R Vanarendonk orcid, Sean C Crosby orcid, Babak Tehranirad orcid, Kees Nederhoff, Patrick Barnard orcid, Li Erikson orcid, Jeffrey J Danielson orcid
Publication Date 2024-02-13
Beginning Date of Data 2019
Ending Date of Data 2023
Data Contact
DOI https://doi.org/10.5066/P9I08NS5
Citation Grossman, E., Vanarendonk, N.R., Crosby, S.C., Tehranirad, B., Nederhoff, K., Barnard, P., Erikson, L., and Danielson, J.J., 2024, Projections of coastal flood durations for Whatcom County, Northwest Washington State coast (2015-2100): U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P9I08NS5.
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Metadata Date 2024-02-13
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Harvest Source: Coastal and Marine Geoscience Data System
Harvest Date: 2025-01-22T04:21:20.072Z