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Sagebrush projections for greater sage-grouse core areas in Wyoming, USA, 2018-2100

Sagebrush (Artemisia spp.) ecosystems provide critical habitat for the near-threatened Greater sage-grouse (Centrocercus urophasianus), and future loss of sagebrush habitat because of land use change and global climate change is of concern. We used a dynamic additive spatio-temporal model to estimate effects of climate (spring-summer temperatures and precipitation) on sagebrush cover dynamics at 32 sage-grouse management (core) areas in Wyoming, 1985-2018. We then use the fitted models to make probabilistic projections of sagebrush cover in each core area across three time intervals (2018-2040, 2041-2070, 2071-2100) and under three climate change scenarios and weighted averages of 18 Global Circulation Models (ssp126, ssp245, and ssp585), producing 351 netCDF files (USGS_SageCastWY.zip).

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Author(s) Andrew T Tredennick, Adrian P Monroe orcid, Thomas Prebyl, John Lombardi, Cameron Aldridge orcid
Publication Date 2023-04-20
Beginning Date of Data 2018
Ending Date of Data 2100
Data Contact
DOI https://doi.org/10.5066/P9G58V48
Citation Tredennick, A.T., Monroe, A.P., Prebyl, T., Lombardi, J., and Aldridge, C., 2023, Sagebrush projections for greater sage-grouse core areas in Wyoming, USA, 2018-2100: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P9G58V48.
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Metadata Date 2023-04-20
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License http://www.usa.gov/publicdomain/label/1.0/
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Harvest Source: ScienceBase
Harvest Date: 2025-02-14T05:09:40.543Z