The U.S. Geological Survey’s SPAtially Referenced Regression On Watershed attributes (SPARROW) for the Southeastern United States was used to simulate changes in total nitrogen, total phosphorus and suspended sediment load in streams under two scenarios: (1) where all forests are urbanized and (2) where all forests are urbanized and runoff is adjusted based on a non-forested landscape. This data release includes model input not published with the original model and used for scenario simulations, and model output for total nitrogen, total phosphorus, and suspended sediment under baseline conditions, scenario (1), and scenario (2). Original model input, output, and shapefiles are available (Roland and Hoos, 2020, https://https://doi.org/10.5066/p9a682gw) and original model development is described in Hoos and Roland (2019, https://doi.org/10.3133/sir20195135).