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Worksheet for computing annual exceedance probability flood discharges and prediction intervals at stream sites in Connecticut

The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), in cooperation with Connecticut Department of Transportation, completed a study to improve flood-frequency estimates in Connecticut. This companion data release is a Microsoft Excel workbook for: (1) computing flood discharges for the 50- to 0.2-percent annual exceedance probabilities from peak-flow regression equations, and (2) computing additional prediction intervals, not available through the USGS StreamStats web application. The current StreamStats application (version 4) only computes the 90-percent prediction interval for stream sites in Connecticut. The Excel workbook can be used to compute the 70-, 80-, 90-, 95-, and 99-percent prediction intervals. The prediction interval provides upper and lower limits of the estimated flood discharge with a certain probability, or level of confidence in the accuracy of the estimate. The standard error of prediction for the Connecticut peak-flow regression equations ranged from 26.3 to 45.0 percent (Ahearn and Hodgkins, 2020). The Excel workbook consists of four worksheets. The worksheets provide an overview of how the application works; input and output tables of the explanatory variables and flood discharges, and graphical display of the results; and the computational formulas used to estimate the flood discharges and prediction intervals.

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Author(s) Elizabeth A Ahearn, Andrea G Veilleux orcid
Publication Date 2020-10-02
Beginning Date of Data 2020-03-10
Ending Date of Data 2020-03-10
Data Contact
DOI https://doi.org/10.5066/P9EWHAYW
Citation Ahearn, E.A., and Veilleux, A.G., 2020, Worksheet for computing annual exceedance probability flood discharges and prediction intervals at stream sites in Connecticut: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P9EWHAYW.
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Metadata Date 2020-10-02
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License http://www.usa.gov/publicdomain/label/1.0/
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Harvest Source: ScienceBase
Harvest Date: 2021-11-19T04:42:53.907Z