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Process-guided deep learning water temperature predictions: 6 Model evaluation (test data and RMSE)

This dataset includes evaluation data ("test" data) and performance metrics for water temperature predictions from multiple modeling frameworks. Process-Based (PB) models were configured and calibrated with training data to reduce root-mean squared error. Uncalibrated models used default configurations (PB0; see Winslow et al. 2016 for details) and no parameters were adjusted according to model fit with observations. Deep Learning (DL) models were Long Short-Term Memory artificial recurrent neural network models which used training data to adjust model structure and weights for temperature predictions (Jia et al. 2019). Process-Guided Deep Learning (PGDL) models were DL models with an added physical constraint for energy conservation as a loss term. These models were pre-trained with uncalibrated Process-Based model outputs (PB0) before training on actual temperature observations. Performance was measured as root-mean squared errors relative to temperature observations during the test period. Test data include compiled water temperature data from a variety of sources, including the Water Quality Portal (Read et al. 2017), the North Temperate Lakes Long-TERM Ecological Research Program (https://lter.limnology.wisc.edu/), the Minnesota department of Natural Resources, and the Global Lake Ecological Observatory Network (gleon.org). This dataset is part of a larger data release of lake temperature model inputs and outputs for 68 lakes in the U.S. states of Minnesota and Wisconsin (http://dx.doi.org/10.5066/P9AQPIVD).

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Author(s) Jordan S Read orcid, Xiaowei Jia orcid, Jared Willard, Alison P Appling orcid, Jacob A Zwart orcid, Samantha K Oliver orcid, Anuj Karpatne, Gretchen J.A. Hansen, Paul C. Hanson, William D Watkins orcid, Michael Steinbach, Kumar Vipin
Publication Date 2019-11-13
Beginning Date of Data 1980-04-01
Ending Date of Data 2018-12-31
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DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.5066/P9AQPIVD
Citation Read, J.S., Jia, X., Willard, J., Appling, A.P., Zwart, J.A., Oliver, S.K., Karpatne, A., Hansen, G.J., Hanson, P.C., Watkins, W.D., Steinbach, M., and Vipin, K., 2019, Process-guided deep learning water temperature predictions: 6 Model evaluation (test data and RMSE): U.S. Geological Survey data release, http://dx.doi.org/10.5066/P9AQPIVD.
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Metadata Date 2020-08-20
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Harvest Source: ScienceBase
Harvest Date: 2025-01-07T16:23:15.254Z