Stantial, Michelle L. Lyons, James E. 20240725 tabular digital data Reston, VA U.S. Geological Survey https://doi.org/10.5066/P13HKWUT Michelle L. Stantial Auriel M. V. Fournier Abigail J. Lawson Bruce G. Marcot Mark S. Woodrey James E. Lyons 20240916 publication Frontiers in Conservation Science vol. 5 n/a Frontiers Media SA https://doi.org/10.3389/fcosc.2024.1426646 This data set was collected as part of structured decision-making workshops designed to build a Bayesian Decision Network of prescribed fire in high marshes of the Gulf of Mexico. As part of a formal elicitation process for expert judgment, workshop participants independently created conditional probability tables based on a conceptual model of prescribed fire in high marsh ecosystems. Following the workshop, we aggregated the conditional probability tables across experts and used them to create a Bayesian Decision network in probability network software. Data were collected to create a Bayesian Decision network of prescribed fire in high marshes of the Gulf of Mexico. Appropriate use of the data is for input to network modeling software. 20211013 20221214 Elicitation date Complete None planned -97.9651 -80.7385 30.9333 25.1184 USGS Thesaurus adaptive management decision support methods USGS Metadata Identifier USGS:66a14f72d34ec831f2c2b50c Geographic Names Information System (GNIS) Gulf of Mexico No access constraints. Please see 'Distribution Information' for details. These data are marked with a Creative Common CC0 1.0 Universal License. These data are in the public domain and do not have any use constraints. Users are advised to read the dataset's metadata thoroughly to understand appropriate use and data limitations. James E Lyons USGS - Northeast Region Research Ecologist mailing and physical

EESC - Patuxent Research Refuge,PTX - Gabrielson Office

Laurel MD 20708 301-497-5567 jelyons@usgs.gov Funding was provided by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s RESTORE Science Program under award NA19NOS4510195 to the U.S. Geological Survey. .neta file can be loaded using Netica software (https://norsys.com/index.html) No formal attribute accuracy tests were conducted No formal logical accuracy tests were conducted Data set is considered complete for the information presented, as described in the abstract. Users are advised to read the rest of the metadata record carefully for additional details. No formal positional accuracy tests were conducted No formal positional accuracy tests were conducted Data were collected during virtual workshops with subject matter experts. Expert judgments in the form of conditional probability tables were elicited using formal elicitation methods to avoid common cognitive biases and adhere to best practices for use of expert judgment. Conditional probability tables from all workshop participants were averaged and prepared for network model software. 20221214 cpt_blraoccu.csv Comma Separated Value (CSV) file containing data. Producer Defined Present Probability of black rail presence Producer Defined 0.0325 0.6935 Absent Probability of black rail absence Producer Defined 0.3065 0.9675 PercentSpartinaCover Percent cover of Spartina species Producer Defined Low (0-33%) 0 to 33% cover of Spartina speces Producer defined Medium (34-66%) 34% to 66% cover of Spartina species Producer defined High (67-100%) 67% to 100% cover of Spartina species Producer defined RobelObsHerbLo Robel pole reading for visual obstruction of herbaceous vegetation Producer Defined Low (0-33%) 0% to 33% visual obstruction Producer defined Medium (34-66%) 34% to 66% visual obstruction Producer defined High (67-100%) 67% to 100% visual obstruction Producer defined PercentHerbVegCover Percent of herbaceous vegetation cover Producer Defined Low (0-33%) 0% to 33% herbaceous vegetation cover Producer defined Medium (34-66%) 34% to 66% herbaceous vegetation cover Producer defined High (67-100%) 67% to 100% herbaceous vegetation cover Producer defined PercentWoody Percent cover of woody vegetation Producer Defined Low (0-33%) 0% to 33% cover of woody vegetation Producer defined Medium (34-66%) 34% to 66% woody vegetation cover Producer defined High (67-100%) 67% to 100% woody vegetation cover Producer defined cpt_herbvegcover.csv Comma Separated Value (CSV) file containing data. Producer Defined Low (0-33%) Average probability of herbaceous vegetation cover being 0 to 33% Producer Defined 0.0745 0.5925 Medium (34-66%) Average probability of herbaceous vegetation cover being 34 to 66% Producer Defined 0.1995 0.42 High (67-100%) Average probability of herbaceous vegetation cover being 67 to 100% Producer Defined 0.13 0.7025 AnnualPrecipitation Amount of annual precipitation Producer Defined Dry (-2 SD) Annual precipitation is at least two standard deviations below average precipitation Producer defined Average (mean) Annual precipitation is consistent with the long term average (within 2 standard deviations of the mean) Producer defined Wet (+2 SD) Annual precipitation is at least two standard deviations above average precipitation Producer defined TimeSinceFire Time since last fire (long term average fire return interval) Producer Defined 2 growing season Two growing seasons since last fire (or a 2-year fire return interval) Producer defined 5 growing season Five growing seasons since last fire (or a 5-year fire return interval) Producer defined 8+ growing season Eight or more growing seasons since last fire (or at least 8-year fire return interval) Producer defined Burn Burn decision Producer Defined Yes Apply prescribed fire Producer defined No Do not apply prescribed fire. Producer defined PercentWoody Percent cover of woody vegetation Producer Defined Low (0-33%) 0% to 33% cover of woody vegetation Producer defined Medium (34-66%) 34% to 66% cover of woody vegetation Producer defined High (67-100%) 67% to 100% cover of woody vegetation Producer defined cpt_modu.csv Comma Separated Value (CSV) file containing data. Producer Defined None (0 pairs) Probability of 0 pairs of mottled ducks Producer Defined 0.0562 0.4635 Low (1-2 pairs) Probability of 1 to 2 pairs of mottled ducks Producer Defined 0.3195 0.4565 High (3+ pairs) Probability of 3 or more pairs of mottled ducks Producer Defined 0.1638 0.6243 PercentSpartinaCover Percent cover of Spartina species Producer Defined Low (0-33%) 0% to 33% cover of Spartina species Producer defined Medium (34-66%) 34% to 66% cover of Spartina species Producer defined High (67-100%) 67% to 100% cover of Spartina species Producer defined PercentHerbVegCover Percent cover of herbaceous vegetation Producer Defined Low (0-33%) 0% to 33% cover of herbaceous vegetation Producer defined Medium (34-66%) 34% to 66% cover of herbaceous vegetation Producer defined High (67-100%) 67% to 100% cover of herbaceous vegetation Producer defined ProxBroodHab Proximity distance class for mottled duck brood rearing habitat Producer Defined Close (0-800 m) Brood rearing habitat found 0 to 800 m away Producer defined Moderate (801-1600 m) Brood rearing habitat found 801 to 1600 m away Producer defined Far (>1601m) Brood rearing habitat more than 1601 m away Producer defined PercentWoody Percent cover of woody vegetation Producer Defined Low (0-33%) 0% to 33% cover of woody vegetation Producer defined Medium (34-66%) 34% to 66% cover of woody vegetation Producer defined High (67-100%) 67% to 100% cover of woody vegetation Producer defined RobelObsHerbLo Robel pole reading for visual obstruction of herbaceous vegetation Producer Defined Low (0-33%) 0% to 33% visual obstruction Producer defined Medium (34-66%) 34% to 66% visual obstruction Producer defined High (67-100%) 67% to 100% visual obstruction Producer defined cpt_pctwoody.csv Comma Separated Value (CSV) file containing data. Producer Defined Low (0-33%) Average probability of woody vegetation cover being 0 to 33% Producer Defined 0.19 0.8935 Medium (34-66%) Average probability of woody vegetation cover being 34 to 66% Producer Defined 0.086 0.354 High (67-100%) Average probability of woody vegetation cover being 67 to 100% Producer Defined 0.0205 0.5475 Burn Burn decision Producer Defined Yes Apply prescribed fire Producer defined No Do not apply prescribed fire Producer defined TimeSinceFire Time since last fire (long term average fire return interval) Producer Defined 2 growing season Two growing seasons since last fire (or a 2-year fire return interval) Producer defined 5 growing season Five growing seasons since last fire (or a 5-year fire return interval) Producer defined 8+ growing seaso Eight or more growing seasons since last fire (or at least 8-year fire return interval) Producer defined cpt_robelobs.csv Comma Separated Value (CSV) file containing data. Producer Defined Low (0-33%) Average probability of visual obstruction being 0 to 33% Producer Defined 0.077 0.749 Medium (34-66%) Average probability of visual obstruction being 0 to 33% Producer Defined 0.206 0.4475 High (67-100%) Average probability of visual obstruction being 0 to 33% Producer Defined 0.045 0.615 TimeSinceFire Time since last fire (long term average fire return interval) Producer Defined 2 growing season Two growing seasons since last fire (or a 2-year fire return interval) Producer defined 5 growing season Five growing seasons since last fire (or a 5-year fire return interval) Producer defined 8+ growing seaso Eight or more growing seasons since last fire (or at least 8-year fire return interval) Producer defined AnnualPrecipitation Amount of annual precipitation Producer Defined Dry (-2 SD) Annual precipitation is at least two standard deviations below average precipitation Producer defined Average (mean) Annual precipitation is consistent with the long term average (within 2 standard deviations of the mean) Producer defined Wet (+2 SD) Annual precipitation is at least two standard deviations above average precipitation Producer defined Burn Burn decision Producer Defined Yes Apply prescribed fire Producer defined No Do not apply prescribed fire Producer defined re-arming_salt_marshes.neta File can be loaded with Netica software. This file visualizes the Bayesian network composed from the csv files. Producer Defined U.S. Geological Survey GS ScienceBase mailing address

Denver Federal Center, Building 810, Mail Stop 302

Denver CO 80225 United States 1-888-275-8747 sciencebase@usgs.gov These data are preliminary or provisional and are subject to revision. They are being provided to meet the need for timely best science. The data have not received final approval by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and are provided on the condition that neither the USGS nor the U.S. Government shall be held liable for any damages resulting from the authorized or unauthorized use of the data. 20250819 James E Lyons USGS - Northeast Region Research Ecologist mailing and physical

EESC - Patuxent Research Refuge,PTX - Gabrielson Office

Laurel MD 20708 301-497-5567 jelyons@usgs.gov Content Standard for Digital Geospatial Metadata FGDC-STD-001-1998